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After many years of being in this field, I am keen to express my view on the assumptions that have been made in the report and also the broader hypothesis.
1. In the section about the carbon intensity of the grid, it is suggested that CHP/district heating should essentially be compared to CCGT rather than average fuel mix. Not sure if it is really logical when in reality 33% of UK electricity supply still uses coal [0.85kgCO2/kWh] and that is what clearly needs to be addressed when mitigating carbon emissions in this context. This argument has been made clearer by Jarek Kurnitski of Helsinki University of Technology [1].
2. The sample calculations have sized the hypothetical CHP unit to meet the monthly average electrical demand and to meet a proportion of the heating in the winter and have a surplus of heating in the summer, which is wasted. The heat deficit in winter is made up by a central gas-fired backup boiler (40% of the heat). This assumption may have substantial repercussions on the final carbon emissions. There is however, the other possibility where the CHP is sized based on heating demand. Rather than plan for one large gas turbine CHP [which is of course very efficient at generating electricity] a set of smaller modulating CHPs would be able to provide a larger proportion of the annual heating demand rather than back-up boilers. For example, a CHP unit which provides for DHW could run throughout the year and smaller machines of different sizes could be installed depending on the demand for space heating. It is doubtful that all of the electricity requirement will be met by doing this but as more of the ‘waste’ heat is used for heating the system, it becomes more efficient on the whole. The economics of having CHPs working for shorter hours [<5000hr] would however, need to be investigated.
The main aim of using CHPs is to reduce carbon emissions arising from heating rather than providing for all of the electricity demand. By sizing the CHP to meet all of the electricity demand, the proposed system within the report, under utilises the ‘waste heat’ from the CHP [even in peak winters!] therefore making it less effective.
3. The focus should also not be on homes alone as there are plenty of commercial and mixed use developments in the UK that could benefit from using CHPs. E.g., Woking Town Centre [2].
Sensitivity check
The report suggests that the CHP/boiler will have an emission of 8,500tCO2 compared to 7.500tCO2 for CCGT i.e., CCGT will be 12% better.
Very quick, back of the envelope reworking suggests that:
• If the heat distribution losses are assumed as 10% rather than 32% [see issue 4], CCGT is 6% better than CHP/boiler• If the proportion of district heat from gas back-up boilers is reduced to 20% [point 2], rather than 40% which is what the report assumes, the CHP/boiler is 4% better than CCGT.
• The above two put together will make the CHP/boiler 6% better than CCGT.
• And finally, if the district heating system is designed based on heat demand rather than electricity [issue 2- i.e., smaller capacity and with modulating units], the CHP/boiler is 13% better than CCGT. This scenario will generate 4GWh of electricity rather than 9GWh, so not all of the electricity demand of the neighbourhood would be met but the mains supply can always meet the shortfall.
• If all of the above measures are implemented then the CHP/boiler is 36% better than CCGT.
The calculations for the above discussion have been done quickly and so might be off by a few percentages. Also there is need to consider the economic implications of the proposed modulating system, added pipe insulation etc. However, 36% of lower carbon emissions instead of 12% higher, as suggested in Max Fordham’s report ‘A case against the widespread use of district heating and CHP in the UK Issue 2 / May 2010’ is a significant difference. This suggests that a more detailed sensitivity assessment (based on the right assumptions) including a cost analysis is needed and would be really useful to logically conclude this discussion.
[1] Jarek Kurnitski, Accounting CO2 emissions from electricity and district heat used in buildings www.ehpcongress.org/fileadmin/2009/presentations/tuesday/B/JKurnitski.pdf
[1] Jarek Kurnitski, Accounting CO2 emissions from electricity and district heat used in buildings www.ehpcongress.org/fileadmin/2009/presentations/tuesday/B/JKurnitski.pdf
Helsinki University of Technology.
Helsinki University of Technology.
[2] Woking Town Centre www.woking.gov.uk/planning/service/publications/energy.pdf
[3] Norwegian Water Resources and Energy Directorate
www.nve.no/global/energi/analyser/energi%20i%20norge%20folder/energy%20in%20norway%202009%20edition.pdf
www.nve.no/global/energi/analyser/energi%20i%20norge%20folder/energy%20in%20norway%202009%20edition.pdf
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20 comments:
Thanks for commenting on this report. As an authour I would like to reply to the points made:
1. The carbon intensity arguement is a bit of an opinion rather than a science issue. I think one should be comparing buring gas in a community heating system to burning gas in a CCGT and gas boiler, rather than burning coal in a power station. I think that a piece of infrastructure like community heating should be looking forward to a time when the grid is "decarbonated" where the carbon intensity of the grid should be less than CCGT.
2. As an outline case we have looked at using a 40% efficient chp which uses all the [40% of the gas input] heat with no losses, and compared that to a condensing boiler of 100% efficnency [keeping the numbers round] and a 50% efficient CCGT producing electricity.[if you don't like those numbers one can put in our own! The calc is not hard! ] The CHP savings are 17%. From this benefit one has to pay for all the losses which is where all the arguements start, and to have enough of a benefit to make it worth while to spend all this money.
3. The issue of what buildngs are being served is not really an issue if one is using all the heat which the simple moddle does. As one moves away from the sweet spot of matching the output of the CHP unit one has to make up the shortfall with gas boilers that are less efficent than a local boiler with no district heating losses.
4. The losses work out at 30w/m. We have done them at 15 w/m too and it makes the case a bit better !
My real point is the the numbers are at best only marginal. The other issues to do with best use of resources, perverse incentives are perhaps more damaging.
Bill Watts
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